Europe’s Smelters Call for Action to Combat Soaring Energy Costs

Forget processing anything energy-intensive in Europe. You would need very low wages to be able to do that and Europe is just not the place. All this business will move to the USGC where energy is cheap, clean, and reliable and wages are still OK compared to Europe. Or to Asian countries that are prepared to slug it out on the environment and on wages – things Europe is not prepared to match. Forget any heavy industry in Europe for the next 30 years. Thats the time it will take for Europe to detoxify from its current bout of madness. The question is what will remain of the continent’s economy then?

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Ghana plans to become West Africa’s gas hub with import terminal

Ghana wants to become a regional hub? Then listen up. West African pipelines are a sham. The only decent one brings gas from Nigeria. Distributing gas is hard there. Infrastructure is just an endemic problem. The reality of Western African Transport is truck and water if possible. Build a bulk break terminal allowing to land big cargos and take off very small cargos of a few thousand m3 to supply coastal communities. Also, build truck loading so trucks can bring the LNG inland. Making a hub happen is more than ministerial announcements and smart contracts – it’s down to Earth hard work.

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Beyond Contempt: Bankers Back Net-Zero & Condemn World’s Poorest to Eternal Poverty

This single aspect of the green revolution should get a lot more attention. And it lends itself to very graphic information campaigns. Rich feel-good tesla driving, yacht-dwelling global elites feast on the plight of the poorest on the planet. Their single decent chance to escape a life in wretched poverty is affordable and reliable energy. Green pixie dust systems cant do that. They cant sustain an industrial civilization and industrialize they will have to have a stab at decent standards of living. Time to show the climate apostles for what they really are.

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Grid Balancing Costs Rocket

The cost for balancing the grid is not increasing per unit of unreliable energy put in it. They have always been very high and always been there but so far, network operators on orders by those making policy found nifty ways to use safety margins in the grid plus accounting tricks to keep them from public view. If people would have caught on early on the true cost of all those green gadgetries, they would likely have objected. But in true step-by-step fashion, the frog was cooked slowly so it did not jump out of the kettle. That said, it might still jump.

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US Politicians Pin Green Hopes on a Geothermal Energy Breakthrough

I am no specialist for geothermal energy but as novice as I am I still can see that it holds appeal only in some very limited circumstances where geology brings the energy of the planet’s innards to the surface naturally. I once had a chat with a driller for geothermal and he told me about silting and keeping the water flowing and it quickly was clear to me that this is a maintenance hog. So, apart from Yellowstone, Iceland, and some other such sites, geothermal won’t ever be a decimal point to the world’s energy needs. But it feels good to chase another pig through the village.

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Climate Change CAUSED the Tonga Volcanic Eruption

This may be a snicker but if you put it in line with countless other equally risible claims a picture emerges. Credulous populations tend to believe anything they are told as soon as there is a general mood. And those in the line of fire will be grateful for any cheap excuse to soothe their plight. When it gets colder instead of warmer, when plenty of ice should have disappeared years ago, when glaciers are growing and every single prediction alarmists make fails so badly, pinning blame on the climate for volcanic eruptions just feels right. Are virgins into volcanoes next?

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BoJo’s Political Weakness Endangers Climate Action

It’s not BoJo’s weakness. Anyone who embarked on any of those virtue-signaling trips would have hit a wall eventually. Admittedly, BoJo has a knack for gaffes but he also has a knack for getting out of their endless loops. Climate Change, as well as the COVID scare, are dead-end policy proposals. Anything that combats the very nature and daily reality of human life is. Anything that requires people to give up their lives for the greater good is bound to blow up eventually. Telling people that their very lives are the problem and expecting them to bend over backward is not going to be popular.

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Should Government Control Scientific Research?

Our natural reflex will be to create some public policy body that shall be in charge to overlook science. But that would be false. The only thing that keeps all those things in check is ruthless light into all dealings plus an awareness that nobody is immune to corruption. Scientists have it very hard if they don’t sing the right tunes. As it bis for anyone who wants to advance. And when you risk your research funds by uttering some deep-held opinions, its not hard to imagine that one will rather keep mouths shut. But some go overboard …

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Green Campaigner Exempts Herself From Her Own Climate Demand

Over the last couple of years, I bumped into quite many of such people. They don’t even try to conceal their own hypocrisy as they are convinced that their own actions are never reprehensible. Look at Arnold Schwarzenegger. He does not miss any moment to lecture the world on how to live CO2 neutral and in tune with the environment, but he has no problem at all driving the biggest SUVs one can buy for money. He just had an accident with one. We can’t shame them – they simply don’t give a damn. What’s next then?

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German government row over Nord Stream 2

Just to remind you – this government is only weeks old and already rowing for its survival. Germany will most likely have a whole series of short, unstable governments now. Merkel has wrecked the very foundations Germany was built upon and has always shrunk from attacking the really important issues of her time. She bequeathed all of them to her successors. And those have very little substance to play with. the time of painless virtue signaling is over. Whatever one does will produce massive pain. Welcome back to the real world Germany.

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What if democracy and climate mitigation are incompatible?

Yes, they are. Because democracy is fundamentally incompatible with anything that’s not rooted in reality. In the long run at least. Democracy allows those strange cults to blossom, it gives them lots of nourishment but eventually, it also does them in. It produces massive suffering by giving all those non-sensical policies a long and deep run. But let’s be frank – look at undemocratic countries. Even China’s countryside – beyond the Potemkin facades – is more like a developing country. Democracies will sweat those problems out and still be better off than pretty much any autocracy.

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Qatar pulls LNG investment trigger as crown slips

Is the volume crown really that important? I don’t think it is. Way more important would be to bring on qualitative change in the LNG world. And I see pretty little of that coming from the big players. LNG replacing other liquid fuels for transportation is more of a grassroots movement that happens in spite of the big players. Not because of them. If Qatar wants to compete with the other contenders for the volume crown – very well. But it could open a totally new premium class where it’s a God-like player. That won’t happen while they are asleep though.

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Sadiq Wants To Charge London Petrol Drivers By The Mile

When the UK scampered out of the European Union, it had a chance to become a special place close to a monolith hell-bent on self-destruction. It could have been an opportunity to turn bad for the better. But never did I think that the UK wants to be holier than the continental extremists and ram some of the most extreme policies on this planet down its population and its guests. There are first signs that the population starts to rebel at those targets but they are obviously not enough. Policymakers live in a spacial world – detached from all reality. Piercing that bubble is hard.

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ESG = Extreme Shortages Guaranteed!

Where are the activists pushing for all those policies causing those shortages coming from? Countryside or metropolitan areas? Right, they are posh city-dwelling creatures. And where are those who will be affected least by those extreme shortages living? right – they are in the sticks. You might not get the latest stuff from all around the world when supply chains collapse, but your fundamental needs will likely be well covered. It’s a form of special justice that those pushed for all this to happen will also suffer the worst consequences. Welcome to the new world.

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Brent remains on top for LNG term contracts

What is TTF – the Dutch Natural Gas hub. As such it’s a regional Natural Gas price marker. It reflects the state of the Natural Gas market in North-Western Europe. It does not reflect any other market’s reality which is why there is a greatly volatile differential with TTF and almost anything else. Brent is an international marker that reflects global oil price trends. If you want to sell LNG into North-Western Europe only, take TTF. Otherwise, something more global is appropriate. None of them will always be perfect but Brent will give you fewer headaches.

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Climate alarmism is doing terrible damage to the young

I am past the half-century mark and I have fond memories of my youth. We had our irrational fears like Nuclear War, Sour Rain, the Global Ice Age, and Chernobyl. But nothing compared to the sheer panic we see among young people today. When I am in my son’s school I can see posters everywhere and totally radicalized younglings who honestly think the world is going to end. We are throwing our youth to the curb as those deeply disturbed young people will grow up to be deranged adults. What a generation we are going to get now.

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Is Climate Finance the Next Bubble?

When China needed more work for its over-bloated industries, they invented the Belt and Road Initiative. What was touted to be a gift of China to the world quickly turned out to be a horrible debt treat that China had built up to bring new work to its domestic industries? The deal was “we give you cash to build projects which we will also build for you and you give us something strategic in return”. I was sure it would falter and it did. Green finance is a similar deal – “we will print a ton of money which we will throw at useless pixie dust projects and leave the debt burden to the next generations”.

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Russia denies responsibility for Europe’s winter energy crisis

I know, we like to go down the easy route. We like to pretend that there is a big, bad bogeyman that is responsible for all our ills. Denial is something I practiced when I was a kid and knew that I did something reprehensible. Looks like some adults still go down this route. That said, Russia is not responsible for the European energy crisis. Europe is. We have liberalized and thrown security of supply to the curb. We love the little games we play on energy prices and let essential infrastructure rot. We want pixie dust energy to take the place of hardcore baseload production. Not Russias fault.

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Global warming has saved 500,000 lives in England and Wales in the last 20 years

Humanoids have roamed the plains of Africa for more than 2 million years. The oldest specimen of Homo Sapiens, the modern humanoid is more than 300.000 years old. Only about 10.000 years ago, when the world warmed, we passed from the Old Stone Age to the New Stone Age and on to the Space Age. If this warm age had not come about, we would still roam the plains as hunter-gatherers. We would still experience warm and cold periods but I doubt there would be anyone spending more than a thought about it. Survival was harder when it was cold and not when it was warm.

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European Union Fiddling Their Own Rules to Fund the Climate Revolution

I don’t want to give you any cute stories about my past. When the Euro was announced, I was a fan. I loved the idea that there would be one currency in most of Europe and we would not have to exchange money on every trip anymore. I actually wanted to go a step further and have a Transatlantic currency. Thats how naive youth can be. I lived in a dream world and the last 20 years were an exercise in popping the bubble open. Today, in 2022 I fully support my countries exit from the European Union and its common currency. It will be extremely painful and still, it would be worth it.

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How Much Manmade CO2 is in the Atmosphere, Really?

There is a thought I have carried with me for a little while. When the Industrial Revolution started, the world used up a lot of wood. Coal enabled the world to ditch wood burning for more efficient coal. Entire regions in Europe had been deforested and many still are. About 200 years ago we reached peak deforestation. Our forests have not recovered to where they were before humanity but they are in a much better state than 200 years ago. All a tree is carbon bound in solid matter. Reforestation means more carbon in trees rather than the air. Was there more CO2 from wood-burning 200 years ago?

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Germany faces ‘gigantic’ task meeting energy, climate goals

Thats not a gigantic task as this implies that there is something that could be done if only enough effort was expended. But what Germany says it wants is totally impossible as it would destroy their economy from the ground up. Germany has suffered through a lot of bad years and COVID did nothing to make a bad situation better. But this new government plan is so utterly crazy, I can almost see the new government split apart very soon. Just some weeks in office and already struggling to make it through the next few weeks.

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What Critics Get Wrong About Energy Choice

What banning certain sources of energy does is push those who can afford to out of the state into areas that are friendlier to them. And the patchwork of regulation usually makes the entire state pretty unattractive as those who leave are those who also pay the most taxes. I would have thought that more politicians would have understood this so far but when I look at some states (yes, it’s you California) that does not hold water. There are still sparks of sanity though and there will be more. Zero carbon has overplayed its hand.

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It Is a Good Year To Be Selling LNG

No, it is not. because high prices for LNG create high expectations and prices always come down in the end. Expectations much more slowly so. Those in the LNG market mostly remember when LNG was impossible to sell – yes that’s right, it’s just about 20 months ago. And what’s important is not how much money you get for one cargo but rather if the market will make your unsanctioned project fly.LNG projects need to produce reliable returns for 20 years – not for a few spectacular months.

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Following Shell victory, South African environmentalists target Searcher project

Sure they go further after a win – who would not? Thats not astonishing. What’s astonishing to me is that the South African government surely expects investors to beat a path to their doors again. Do you think the O&G world won’t take note? Sure it will and all that remains in their heads is that South Africa is no-no land for any developments. Sure, South African players could try themselves at those projects but their track record is not good. South Africa is in the middle of an energy crisis – on top of all the other crises it faces. And salps the hand that could help douse the flames.

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Luxury Yachts To Be Exempt From EU’s Carbon Pricing Plan

In 2020 something happened to me – something important. As a lawyer, I am aware and comfortable that there are many who stretch the truth and lie outright. I know what soup I am navigating through and it does not shock me anymore. That being said, there was still some measure of “They can’t go that far as people will open their eyes” in me. The last bastion of faith in everything. And it all came crashing down in 2020 when I watched the US elections unfold. 2021 finished it off entirely. It’s almost painful to watch but obvious lies and deceit work all too well with most people.

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Fossil Fuel Generation Outpaces Renewables in 2021 – IEA

Of course, it outpaces renewables in 2021 – and it will do so in 2031 and 2041, and so on. There is no version of this where renewables come out on top ever. Because an energy production technology that depends on ever-lasting subsidies for its survival and that also needs a reliable backup system for 100% of its capacity is not worth having. And the world will find out soon enough. In fact, much of the world already has. And the holdouts like Europe will learn through pain. The question is how much will be needed.

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“Hansen vs. The World” (Richard Kerr on uncertain climate science in 1989)

On January 16th, 2022 every single model that has been thrown at climate developments has failed to reproduce data that shows it is accurate. This means they have all failed. If one reads the IPCC reports with a keen eye one will also notice that it more or less admits that there is no conclusive proof for what they say. It’s all opinions – I dare say that they are less than educated ones. So if even the finest scientists in an extremely well-funded UN organization can’t say something with certainty, how would EXXON have done so decades ago? It’s all a sham.

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World’s Woeful Wind Power Output Spells Doom For Renewable Energy Rent Seekers

Wind and solar´s intermittency require us to have a 100% second power production system up and on standby. And the nature of the intermittency also means that it needs to be on fast standby to jump in at every lull in wind or solar power which essentially means that you can’t cut any corners with your secondary system. The secondary system would be able to cover all our needs all the time but it exists only to back up unreliable power. Its entire cost must be factored into the cost of wind and solar. How is this cheap? Next time you get the cheap wind and solar song, make them answer this.

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What is an LNG-powered cruise ship?

What mental images does a cruise ship evoke in you? White beaches, hot rhythms, plentiful food, and a warm breeze blowing through your hair. Would you want your breeze to be seasoned with the scent of diesel or worse? No, you want it to be as clean and unspoiled as your dream images of a cruise are. Ain´t it crazy that the boats of our dreams dragged a black scent behind them so far. LNG shows the world how clean it really is.

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Shrink to fit: the year Big Oil starts to become Small Oil

It’s about time for big oil to go away. I actually like their divestment as this cleans up the oil world from those dinosaurs. They cant evolve anymore and clog the oil world with outlived business models and energy assumptions. There will be new oil and gas players and many of them will come from shale. Others will come out of National Oil Companies or from the fringe. Oil does not go away – it’s just rejuvenating. Thats a good thing.

www.nasdaq.com

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Chinese gas forecasts leave LNG uncertainty

If LNG had started to put more business development effort into the transportation industry, it would not have to depend on one-trick ponies like China. China games the LNG market just like they game anything they run into. I don’t blame China for exploiting the market as well as they can. I blame us for running after the bling even when common sense should tell us that it’s not solid gold. All those USGC LNG projects that still wait for their FID could be in a much better place if they had developed what’s on their doorstep rather than lust for Asian excitement. No entrepreneurs in LNG it seems.

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OPEC targeting oil prices below $100, Oman’s oil minister says

Ah, here they go again. OPEC still does as if what they do has any relevance in oil markets. If OPEC was that powerful, how do they need to cooperate with other oil producers in OPEC+? Looks more like a desperation measure. Shale has permanently defanged OPEC. I know, Biden does not like shale but in the grand scheme of things, this won’t matter much. What Biden wants will soon be immaterial and shale stands ready to boost oil supply in no time if prices go up even more. Just stop pretending.

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Existential risks

I had many ups and downs in my life. Yes, things were not always rosy and I do remember well when I struggled as I always try out new things and those things don’t always work the way I intended. That has hardened me in the sense that challenges that freak most people out just give me a knowing smile. And who are those that are most afraid? Exactly – those living the good life now and for a while. A thick layer of people has never known real challenges in their life. They passed straight from university in cushy civil service or management jobs. They see Hollywood stars freak out and lose it. Surprise, surprise …

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The World Has Been Getting Much Colder For The Last Six Years

And it’s getting very noticeable. When I walk in the street today and ask anyone if they feel colder or warmer, I get almost always “colder”. Much colder. Over the last 10 years, we had plenty of winter days when you could walk with a t-shirt outside. Try that now. Or last winter. It’s freezing cold here in Vienna. But we still get the news about record heat. So how does that work – people feel a lot colder but it gets warmer. Maybe because temperature data today comes from satellites only and local readings with a thermometer is not even considered anymore. Easier to manipulate? Just asking.

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Wind will be Competitive! (Secretary Chu from 2011)

How many years have we heard this? More than a decade now it appears and we are nowhere near any real competitiveness. If that was so we could confidently abolish all those copious subsidies thrown at solar and wind. And we could also cancel all the non-direct subsidies súch as preferred grid access and free balancing services. And there should be no shouts and threats from the climate alarmist corner because the most competitive energy will always win anyhow. So what’s all the commotion then? Why can’t we pull the money plug?

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University of Houston: More Renewable Energy to Prevent Another Texas Ice Storm Outage

That’s perfect common sense I would say. When you do something that gives you a nasty problem, more of the same thing that caused the problem in the first place will eventually resolve it. Who else thinks that that’s perfectly reasonable? When Einstein said that insanity is when you do the same thing (even if it’s more of it) and expect different results. I love Texas and of course, there is academic freedom but if politicians jump on this the state has a serious problem.

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BoJo’s Green Energy Britain: Cuddle Your Pets for Warmth

When I was a teenager, I asked my grandfather how it was possible that an entire country fell for crazed mustached fellow and his henchmen. I could not believe how people could have taken the crap those people proposed seriously. I was sure that something else was involved and that a mature society would not fall for this again. How wrong I was – it’s absolutely stupendous. We have not learned a bit. A little virus brought the worst in us out in many solidly democratic countries. And climate extremism does it again.

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We’re Saved!? Biden Admin: 7 federal agencies announce ‘plans that will activate the entire government to fight climate change’

Even if all Americans united behind their president with the singular aim to change the climate it would not succeed. Heck, throw in the entire rest of the world and it would not work. Let’s go further – throw in all economic activity geared exclusively to the game of climate change – and it would not make a perceptible dent. One day we will have to climb down from the pedestal we have erected and admit that we cant meaningfully influence some natural processes. Until then we will suffer ever more.

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Swiss Researchers Use Brain Electrodes to Stimulate Climate Concern

What sick mind even dreams up experiments like this? And what even sicker mind throws money at something like this? No matter how long I twist my mind around it, I can’t possibly think of anything benign coming out of such trials. Oh, and anyone who is just half-convinced that his message rings halfway true would not need such tactics. Climate extremists must be really hard battered if they have to resort to North Korea tactics.

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UK Inches Closer To Eliminating Private Car Ownership

Private car ownership was nothing that was dreamt up by some bureaucrats in the 19th century and then implemented by some high-handed policy with lofty goals. It emerged out of the economy when motorized vehicles turned out to be superior to horses and carriages. My father still saw a lot of them in his youth. I still saw some when I was a kid and not for recreational purposes. If what follows private car ownership was such a natural emanation of our times, I would not mind. But it’s not – it’s an enlightened caste of tyrants that wants to tell us how to live once more. And we won’t have it.

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Europe Is Desperate for LNG While Asia Has More Than It Needs

Thats a hard one-winter problem very likely. Because when this winter is over, anyone with any gas storage capacity will fill up to the brim. And fuller storage is going to take the crisp out of this. But make no mistake – Europe is at a gas deficit and needs to take care of it, Especially as closed nuclear and coal plants make renewable intermittency even worse than it is right now. But given some money and goodwill, those problems would be far easier to mend than Asia’s very hard market inflexibility. Because Asia suffers from both, over and undersupply when it happens.

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Texas: Wind Fails, Media Blames Natural Gas… Again

Let me make a prediction: as long as you look at the wrong causes, you will have the problem. It’s natural to shift blame and try to get out of a bad spot. In the end, politicians are responsible for greenlighting funds for those excessive wind power projects so they sure don’t appreciate the light of day on their shoddy stuff. It might well be some “let’s kick the can down the road so I might not have to deal with this in my term of office”. But that’s what they are here for. Or better, get out of the way and let people and true entrepreneurs – not corporate socialists – take care of the problem.

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Norway’s Power Surplus Disappearing Rapidly

Cockiness is rarely ever a smart thing. Norwegians felt smart as they can play with money many other countries don’t have. And when you have a lot of money you think you can go for bling. I remember that some more than 10 years ago I looked at small multigas vessels. When I saw the specs I was flabbergasted. Those small vessels could carry all kinds of liquefied gases and even CO2. I told the operator that this sort of operational flex comes with a steep price tag I was not willing to entertain. I was told they were designed for Norwegians and they wanted all useless frills. There is a price beyond the tag too.

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Austrian Climate Researchers Excited About Manipulating the Minds of Children

I always had mixed feelings about my own country. Thats why I have lived far away from it for almost 2 decades. When I came back I had mellowed and made some sort of peace with myself and my misgivings. But the current madness on COVID has brought all my old feelings to the surface again. I am literally appalled at what some in my own country seriously consider to be done, especially to children. It’s as if we had not learned anything about 80 years ago. We need to step back from the brink, and after that’s done we need to expose everyone and everything to some harsh reality check.

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The Economist: EU Should Embrace Tougher Carbon Pricing

The EU is on the road to economic hell and total irrelevance so some people argue that it does not matter anymore what madness is executed as a policy. When things will go biblical anyhow, what does anyone care about some trillions on top? Well, it may not matter in the big picture, but to some pockets of sanity, it may make a huge difference. I think that the EU is beyond repair and as painful it will be to see it fall apart, I have come to the conclusion that it’s better to break it up. Or to break out. That will be a horrible toll to take but it increasingly looks like the lesser pain.

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Heat Pumps v Hydrogen: (Scalded Or Burned!!)

The best way to inoculate people against BS is to let them have some of it unfiltered. Heat pumps are incredibly inefficient, work very badly, and are super expensive. people tend not to look at consequential costs when their view is clouded by the BS arguments. But when this goes away and the brain is allowed to work again, they will cut it out very quickly. We won’t be able to get through that undamaged. We will have to suffer, suffer very badly to make the silent majority squirm and take action. 

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Does the CCP Control Extinction Rebellion?

In the past, communist regimes were known to foment dissent in the West by supporting groups they knew to split marginal issues wide open. The aim was to get the enemy population to force politics into policies that would weaken the west. In the Cold War, those tactics were well known and countered. Having a nuclear-armed superpower breathing down your neck keeps you focused on what matters. But hostile powers are much more sneaky now. They cozy up to you and give themselves an unthreatening demeanor until they don’t. The same tools are used as before.

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EU: Natural Gas and Nuclear are now Green Energy

You think that reality starts to creep into the minds of Brussel bureaucrats but you would be completely wrong. They wanted the full Monty – they wanted their green monster outlawing anything that does not make the cut as net-zero and non-nuke. But some rather powerful countries would not let them. Sure enough, Germany and my home country raised a stick. They wanted everything and they wanted it now. Austria with abundant hydropower has it a wee bit easier but Germany has no such luxuries. Sauron is still alive and well.

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Three in five Brits reject higher taxes to reach Net Zero

Higher taxes to reach net-zero? Folks, you have not even seen anything yet. Because what is on the plate of the alarmists will cost many multiples of what has been done so far and the cost of the done stuff has been largely minced down by bouts of money printing and creative accounting on the part of politicians. This debt bubble is already breathing down your neck and even if nothing is done anymore to further green plans you will still have to cough up a massive wad of cash to cover this Black Hole. We are way past the point of no return. We can only stop the hemorrhage now.

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